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Published Journal Articles
- Portella TP, Picinini Freitas L, Resende PC, Gomes MFC, Bastos LS. âHighly Atypical 2025 Influenza A Season in Brazilâ. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 20:e70262 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1111/irv.70262
- daCosta Oliveira TN, Moreira RC, Carvalho LM, Coelho FC, Gomes MFC, Bastos LS, Picinini Freitas L, Pacheco AG. âMortality trends for diabetes mellitus, hypertension and cardiovascular disease among people living with and without HIV in Brazil during the COVID-19 pandemic, 2020â2022â. HIV Medicine, 1-12 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1111/hiv.70240
- Araujo EC, Carvalho LM, Ganem F, Vacaro LB, Bastos LS, Freitas LP, de Almeida IF, Bastos M, Alencar R, Bianchi L, CapellĂĄn R, Chen X, Cruz O, Cunha A, Das HK, Fletcher C, Lana RM, Lowe R, LĂŒhrsen D, Moirano G, Moraga P, Stolerman LM, Valente F, Codeço CT, Coelho FC. âLeveraging probabilistic forecasts for dengue preparedness and control: The 2024 Dengue Forecasting Sprint in Brazilâ. PNAS, 123(7):e2508989123 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2508989123
- Douwes-Schultz D, Schmidt AM, Freitas LP, Carvalho MS. âMarkov switching zero-inflated space-time multinomial models for comparing multiple infectious diseases". Biostatistics, 20(1):kxaf034 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1093/biostatistics/kxaf034
- Barkhad A, de Almeida Santos G, Campos SRC, Braz LMA, Picinini Freitas L, Zinszer K, de Souza R, Waldron I, Loeb M, Luna E, Mbuagbaw L. âKnowledge, Attitudes, Practices and Perceptions of the EcoâBioâSocial Determinants of Dengue Transmission in SĂŁo Paulo, Brazil: A MixedâMethods Studyâ. Tropical Medicine & International Health, 31:58â79 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.70050
- Salazar-FlĂłrez J, Restrepo BN, Freitas LP, Carabali M, Jaramillo-Ramirez GI, GarcĂa-Balaguera C, Monsalve BA, Zinszer K. âSpatio-temporal analysis of the distribution and co-circulation of dengue, chikungunya, and Zika in MedellĂn, Colombia, from 2013 to 2021â. PLOS Negl Trop Dis 19(9): e0013470 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0013470
- Picinini Freitas L, Ferreira DAC, Lana RM, CĂąmara DCP, Portella TP, Carvalho MS, Gouveia AS, Almeida IF, Araujo EC, Vacaro LB, Ganem F, Cruz OG, Coelho FC, Codeço CT, Carvalho LM, Bastos LS. âA statistical model for forecasting probabilistic epidemic bands for dengue cases in Brazilâ. Infectious Diseases Modelling, 10(4):1479-1487 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2025.07.014
- da Cruz Ferreira DA, Freitas LP, Lowe R, Souza GD, Fujiwara RT, Martins Lana R. âIntroduction, establishment, and distribution of Aedes aegypti and dengue in a temperate capital of Brazil: a retrospective surveillance-based studyâ. The Lancet Regional Health - Americas, 48:101153 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lana.2025.101153
- Araujo EC, Codeço CT, Loch S, Vacaro L, Freitas LP, Lana RM, Bastos LS, Almeida IF, Valente F, Carvalo LM, Coelho FC. âLarge-scale Epidemiological modeling: Scanning for Mosquito-Borne Diseasesâ. Royal Society Open, 12:241261 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.241261
- Picinini Freitas L, Carabali M, Schmidt AM, Salazar-FlĂłrez JE, Ăvila-Monsalve B, GarcĂa-Balaguera C, Restrepo BN, Jaramillo-Ramirez GI, Zinszer K. âA nationwide joint spatial modelling of simultaneous epidemics of dengue, chikungunya, and Zika in Colombia, 2014-2016â. BMC Infectious Diseases, 25:406 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-025-10782-0
- Michal V, Schmidt AM, Freitas LP, Cruz OG. âA Bayesian hierarchical model for disease mapping that accounts for scaling and heavy-tailed latent effectsâ. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 34(2):307-321 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1177/09622802241293776
- Freitas LP, Codeço CT, Bastos LS, Villela DAM, Cruz OG, Pacheco AG, Coelho FC, Lana RM, Carvalho LMF, Niquini RP, Almeida WAF, Silva DA, Carvalho FC, Gomes MFC. âEvaluation of the design of the influenza-like illness sentinel surveillance system in Brazilâ. Reports in Public Health [Cadernos de SaĂșde PĂșblica], 40(6):e00028823 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1590/0102-311XEN028823
- Moreira RC, Bastos LS, Carvalho LM, Freitas LP, Pacheco AG. âPersistent high mortality rates for Diabetes Mellitus and Hypertension after excluding deaths associated with COVID-19 in Brazil, 2020â2022â. PLOS Global Public Health 4(5): e0002576 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0002576
- Picinini Freitas L, Douwes-Schultz D, Schmidt A, Monsalve BA, Salazar-FlĂłrez JE, GarcĂa-Balaguera C, Restrepo BN, Jaramillo-Ramirez GI, Carabali M, Zinszer K. âZika emergence, persistence, and transmission rate in Colombia: a nationwide application of a space-time Markov switching modelâ. Scientific Reports, 14:10003 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-59976-7